Friday, January 4, 2008

Line In The Sand

After four days of feeding the Bears almost took a nap. Overall on a psychological note it was a bad day. The market gave up most of its gains but we could have gone down harder after a big reversal. Under the surface, energy (Services), materials and agriculture were very strong and a lot of those stocks hit 52-week highs. A look at the internals, not a rosy picture. Excet for the NYSE Decliners outpaced advancerd and the down vol was greater than up vol. Number of new lows to new highs was at a 5:1 ratio(NYSE)and 7:1 on the Nas.


Critical Levels :


Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA – 13,056.72) - support at 12,500; resistance at 14,000


S&P 500 Index (SPX – 1,447.16) - support at 1,400; resistance at 1,510


Nasdaq Composite (COMP – 2,602.7) - support at 2,500; resistance at 2,800



Today its all about the Job report. Futures are up six, if the market doest blast up from here we are in real trouble for the broader markets but if you are in the sectors that work the pain will be less till investors think stocks are a bargain again. Hold on tight it's about to get nerve racking!

No comments:

About Me: Disclaimer

$BPCOMP

$BPCOMP
Extremely Oversold

Regarding Chart: BPCOMQ

This is the lowest close seen in years, usually a sharp and violent rally follows these moves enhanced by short covering, this is no time to short and start making a shopping list.

Bear-ly Hangin" In dustrials

Bear-ly Hangin" In dustrials
Dow Graph: 11/20/07
The Dow looks like its fighting for its life here at the level. It's no surprise there was a vicious bounce off the trend line as shown in the chart. Unfortunately, the last time we had that five hundred point reversal day was caused by the Fed stepping in, there has to be a similar event that helps the market or there is more pain ahead. The Fed minutes said nothing the market really liked, we sold off hard and bounced back hard as we hit support. This was just a reflex rally we may have to get one more really painful selloff to get around 12500.