Wednesday, January 9, 2008

Think Agriculture

Case for Ag in 08, Mosaic reported a 45% profit surge and guided higher for 08 and beyond. “Our second-quarter results demonstrate that Mosaic is leveraging the robust agricultural economy and delivering record results," CEO Jim Prokopanko said in a statement. He added that his company is on track "to deliver strong results in fiscal 2008 and beyond."
Mosiac said industry fundamentals should remain robust this year. "Phosphate and potash prices increased to even higher record levels at the end of 2007 and this momentum is anticipated to continue into 2008," the company said in a press release. "Further increases in grain and oilseed prices during the last several weeks have bolstered farm economics worldwide and solidify strong nutrient demand prospects for 2008." Third-quarter sales volumes for Mosaic's phosphates and offshore segments will probably be below the second quarter, but that's in line with expected seasonal patterns.
Phospates volume was 2.28 million tons for the just completed quarter, down 1% on the year.
For the fiscal year, volumes in the phosphates business should be 8.6 million to 9.1 million metric tons. Potash volume will probably total 8.5 million to 9 million metric tons. Both forecasts are unchanged from Mosaic's prior targets. This coupled with Monsanto’s guidance should bode well for TRA, TNH, POT, AG, DE and AGU to name a few.

1 comment:

Mike said...

take a look at a terrific ag play-TITN

up 30% friday on great earnings

they are the largest agr machinery dealership in N America

they are a recent ipo and price is only $17 (they have debt but it will be coming donw).

TITN could do very well in 2008 given that the ag industry needs machines

About Me: Disclaimer

$BPCOMP

$BPCOMP
Extremely Oversold

Regarding Chart: BPCOMQ

This is the lowest close seen in years, usually a sharp and violent rally follows these moves enhanced by short covering, this is no time to short and start making a shopping list.

Bear-ly Hangin" In dustrials

Bear-ly Hangin" In dustrials
Dow Graph: 11/20/07
The Dow looks like its fighting for its life here at the level. It's no surprise there was a vicious bounce off the trend line as shown in the chart. Unfortunately, the last time we had that five hundred point reversal day was caused by the Fed stepping in, there has to be a similar event that helps the market or there is more pain ahead. The Fed minutes said nothing the market really liked, we sold off hard and bounced back hard as we hit support. This was just a reflex rally we may have to get one more really painful selloff to get around 12500.