Tuesday, December 11, 2007

Market Recap: The Fed Blows It !

Man is everyone disappointed big time. Bernanke has is head in the sand. I don't get this statement at all. We are going to a recession and this guy is worried about inflation. The cuts a drop in the bucket, we blew right through the swiss cheese supports and we are headed down to the 1370-1400 on the S&P. Furthermore, all rallies from here on in will be sell rallies till the subprime mess goes away. I am net short at this time with a 30% cash (as of this afternoon) and a couple of international plays to the long side, along with oil services. The financials got hammered, good thing I took some profits and bought insurance ahead of the FED yesterday and today, it helped a little but I tell I really don't like this market as much as I did before Bernanke dropped the hammer. I took a big hit today like everyone else who was long. Building short positions in any rally.

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About Me: Disclaimer

$BPCOMP

$BPCOMP
Extremely Oversold

Regarding Chart: BPCOMQ

This is the lowest close seen in years, usually a sharp and violent rally follows these moves enhanced by short covering, this is no time to short and start making a shopping list.

Bear-ly Hangin" In dustrials

Bear-ly Hangin" In dustrials
Dow Graph: 11/20/07
The Dow looks like its fighting for its life here at the level. It's no surprise there was a vicious bounce off the trend line as shown in the chart. Unfortunately, the last time we had that five hundred point reversal day was caused by the Fed stepping in, there has to be a similar event that helps the market or there is more pain ahead. The Fed minutes said nothing the market really liked, we sold off hard and bounced back hard as we hit support. This was just a reflex rally we may have to get one more really painful selloff to get around 12500.