Wednesday, December 5, 2007

What is up with this Rally?


This is not a rally if we dont close higher than the Intraday highs. This would be a Faux rally. So here we are, the last trading hour and lets make a stand, I am long 100% for the first time in a while, but as RIMM (very negative reversal)sells off and averages are off their highs I am very nervous. The last 15 MINS are key for the bulls.

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About Me: Disclaimer

$BPCOMP

$BPCOMP
Extremely Oversold

Regarding Chart: BPCOMQ

This is the lowest close seen in years, usually a sharp and violent rally follows these moves enhanced by short covering, this is no time to short and start making a shopping list.

Bear-ly Hangin" In dustrials

Bear-ly Hangin" In dustrials
Dow Graph: 11/20/07
The Dow looks like its fighting for its life here at the level. It's no surprise there was a vicious bounce off the trend line as shown in the chart. Unfortunately, the last time we had that five hundred point reversal day was caused by the Fed stepping in, there has to be a similar event that helps the market or there is more pain ahead. The Fed minutes said nothing the market really liked, we sold off hard and bounced back hard as we hit support. This was just a reflex rally we may have to get one more really painful selloff to get around 12500.